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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

Turkey’s Diplomatic Struggles in the Caucasus By Neil Hauer - Mar 11, 2021

Much was made of Turkey’s return last year to one of its old stomping grounds: the Caucasus. Almost six months on, however, little of substance has materialized in Ankara’s diplomatic and military initiatives in the region. For centuries, Turkey, in its previous incarnation as the Ottoman empire, controlled the western portion of the South Caucasus, … Continue reading “Turkey’s Diplomatic Struggles in the Caucasus”

Analysis: Turkish and Israeli Military Tech in the Nagorno-Karabakh War By Neil Hauer - Jan 14, 2021

One thing that wars offer third parties is the opportunity to evaluate weapons employed in real conflicts, as opposed to simulated exhibitions. This is important for tactical as well as procurement reasons. In this regard, the recent war over the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan was notable for three things: the absence of … Continue reading “Analysis: Turkish and Israeli Military Tech in the Nagorno-Karabakh War”

Nagorno-Karabakh Deal Entrenches Russia’s Power in the Caucasus and Cuts Out the US By Neil Hauer - Nov 19, 2020

The ceasefire signed on November 10 between Armenia and Azerbaijan, brokered by Vladimir Putin, establishes not only peace (hopefully one that is more than merely tentative) in Nagorno-Karabakh, but also entrenches Russia’s influence in the Caucasus. To those who say, “Why not? This is, after all, on Moscow’s doorstep,” they have a point. However, is … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh Deal Entrenches Russia’s Power in the Caucasus and Cuts Out the US”

Nagorno-Karabakh: War Between Armenia and Azerbaijan Faces Decisive Moment in Mid-November By Neil Hauer - Nov 7, 2020

Yerevan, Armenia – No one said the conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh would be quick. Bit by bit, and despite heavy losses, however, Azerbaijan’s forces have continued to advance against Armenia’s troops. Azeri troops now find themselves on the edge of their greatest prize: the city of Shushi. It is at this point that the war will … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh: War Between Armenia and Azerbaijan Faces Decisive Moment in Mid-November”

As Azerbaijan Gains Ground in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia Must Step Up By Neil Hauer - Oct 23, 2020

Yerevan, Armenia – After limited initial advances, Azerbaijan’s armed forces by October 21 blew past Armenian positions in Nagorno-Karabakh’s south. This resulted in a lightning grab of territory that has left nearly the entirety of the region along the border with Iran in Azeri hands. On October 20, Azerbaijan’s defense ministry posted footage of Azeri … Continue reading “As Azerbaijan Gains Ground in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia Must Step Up”