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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

Russia Is Not Ready for North Syria By Neil Hauer - Nov 28, 2019

If you listen to Russia’s official messaging on Syria, you would think Russia’s sole role in this eight-year conflict was as peacemaker. In between bombing hospitals and bakeries, the Kremlin trumpets that it merely responded to a request from Syria’s “legitimate sovereign government” for help in “defeating terrorism.” Terms such as “de-escalation zones’’ and “ceasefire … Continue reading “Russia Is Not Ready for North Syria”

Syria’s War Has Killed Truth By Neil Hauer - Nov 5, 2019

In war, so the saying goes, the first casualty is truth. The saying is particularly pertinent for observers of Syria. Since the earliest days of the conflict more than eight years ago, Syria’s protest movement-turned-civil war has been the setting for some of the most vehement denials of facts and manipulations of narrative ever seen. Every new development in the war has produced … Continue reading “Syria’s War Has Killed Truth”

What the Burgeoning Insurgency in South Syria Means for Russia By Neil Hauer - Aug 25, 2019

Most of the media focus in Syria in recent weeks has been on the intense combat going on along the frontlines of Greater Idlib province. An offensive lasting several weeks by pro-regime forces, supported by a massive Russian bombing campaign, has resulted in a high number of casualties among government troops while achieving little. The … Continue reading “What the Burgeoning Insurgency in South Syria Means for Russia”

Despite Russia’s Efforts, the Syrian Army Is as Inept as Ever By Neil Hauer - Jul 14, 2019

On a countrywide scale, Syria’s battlefields and areas of control have been largely stable for a year or more. Territory is roughly divided between the regime of President Bashar Al-Assad and US-backed Syrian Kurdish forces, with a Turkish-held zone north and west of Aleppo and a broader rebel-controlled territory centered on Idlib governorate rounding out … Continue reading “Despite Russia’s Efforts, the Syrian Army Is as Inept as Ever”