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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

Despite Russia’s Efforts, the Syrian Army Is as Inept as Ever By Neil Hauer - Jul 14, 2019

On a countrywide scale, Syria’s battlefields and areas of control have been largely stable for a year or more. Territory is roughly divided between the regime of President Bashar Al-Assad and US-backed Syrian Kurdish forces, with a Turkish-held zone north and west of Aleppo and a broader rebel-controlled territory centered on Idlib governorate rounding out … Continue reading “Despite Russia’s Efforts, the Syrian Army Is as Inept as Ever”

Russia’s Latest Declaration of Victory in Syria Carries an Echo of the Soviet Era  By Neil Hauer - Mar 24, 2019

Russia just launched its latest celebration of victory in Syria. As part of the “Defenders of the Fatherland” holiday, officials on February 23 inaugurated the “Syrian Breakthrough” train in Moscow. The train, which contains over 500 war trophies from Russia’s campaign in Syria, will traverse the country multiple times over the next two months, covering … Continue reading “Russia’s Latest Declaration of Victory in Syria Carries an Echo of the Soviet Era “

Russia’s Chechnya Model for Syria Will Only Deepen the Conflict By Neil Hauer - Dec 26, 2018

Russia’s military intervention in Syria has resulted in significant benefit for the Damascus regime. It has seen Syrian government forces regain control of most of the country, conquering Aleppo, the ISIS-held central desert and most rebel strongholds. But while battlefield conquests are straightforward, a wider resolution of the conflict is not. Major issues – involving … Continue reading “Russia’s Chechnya Model for Syria Will Only Deepen the Conflict”