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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

Azerbaijan Looms Over Turkey-Armenia Normalization Push By Neil Hauer - Dec 31, 2021

In recent weeks, pronouncements that Turkey and Armenia are seeking to normalize ties for the first time in a generation has prompted at least some hope of reconciliation between the two. There is ample skepticism, for obvious reasons, over the possibilities of success, but the appointment of special envoys in each country devoted to the … Continue reading “Azerbaijan Looms Over Turkey-Armenia Normalization Push”

Russia And Turkey Attempt To Transpose Their Bloody Middle East Rivalry To The South Caucasus By Neil Hauer - Nov 7, 2021

When Turkey first proposed its “3+3” format – the three South Caucasus states of Armenia, Georgia and Azerbaijan plus Russia, Turkey and Iran – last December, few thought anything of it. After all, since the Soviet collapse 30 years ago, the region had been largely Russia’s backyard, with little space for other actors to dislodge … Continue reading “Russia And Turkey Attempt To Transpose Their Bloody Middle East Rivalry To The South Caucasus”

New Siege of Daraa Shows Depth of Syria Regime’s Dependence on Russia and Iran By Neil Hauer - Sep 5, 2021

The past two months in southern Syria have exposed yet again the weakness of Bashar Al-Assad’s tattered regime – and how utterly reliant it remains on its Russian and Iranian partners to maintain a hold even on areas it ostensibly controls. The fall of Kabul has been a cautionary tale to Al-Assad. The city of … Continue reading “New Siege of Daraa Shows Depth of Syria Regime’s Dependence on Russia and Iran”

Russia Can’t Save Syria’s Failing Economy – Nor Is it Interested By Neil Hauer - Jul 20, 2021

What remains of Syria’s civil war has largely been driven to the sidelines of international attention. The broad military offensives of years past have given way to stagnated frontlines and a slow decay that rarely makes headlines. But for the people of Syria, the hardships are not over. For those remaining in areas under Bashar … Continue reading “Russia Can’t Save Syria’s Failing Economy – Nor Is it Interested”