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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

New Siege of Daraa Shows Depth of Syria Regime’s Dependence on Russia and Iran By Neil Hauer - Sep 5, 2021

The past two months in southern Syria have exposed yet again the weakness of Bashar Al-Assad’s tattered regime – and how utterly reliant it remains on its Russian and Iranian partners to maintain a hold even on areas it ostensibly controls. The fall of Kabul has been a cautionary tale to Al-Assad. The city of … Continue reading “New Siege of Daraa Shows Depth of Syria Regime’s Dependence on Russia and Iran”

Russia Can’t Save Syria’s Failing Economy – Nor Is it Interested By Neil Hauer - Jul 20, 2021

What remains of Syria’s civil war has largely been driven to the sidelines of international attention. The broad military offensives of years past have given way to stagnated frontlines and a slow decay that rarely makes headlines. But for the people of Syria, the hardships are not over. For those remaining in areas under Bashar … Continue reading “Russia Can’t Save Syria’s Failing Economy – Nor Is it Interested”

Iran and the Caucasus: Tehran Powerless in Its Former Domain By Neil Hauer - Jun 3, 2021

The Caucasus is famously a region bounded by three former empires: Russia, Turkey and Iran. But while Moscow and to a lesser degree Ankara hold significant sway in the region, Tehran has been relegated to little more than a spectator. Despite its often-dominant position over its neighbors to the west in the Arab world, Iran’s … Continue reading “Iran and the Caucasus: Tehran Powerless in Its Former Domain”

Turkey’s Genocide Denial Campaign Has Failed – But Don’t Expect Change By Neil Hauer - May 6, 2021

On April 24, the once-unthinkable happened. Marking the 106th anniversary of the Armenian genocide, US President Joe Biden issued a statement that explicitly used the word “genocide” twice. The statement marked a reversal of decades-long American policy to avoid officially recognizing the Armenian genocide in order not to antagonize Turkey, long a valuable Cold War … Continue reading “Turkey’s Genocide Denial Campaign Has Failed – But Don’t Expect Change”