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Neil Hauer

Neil Hauer is a security analyst based in Tbilisi, Georgia. His work focuses on the Syrian conflict, particularly Russia’s role; politics and minorities in the South Caucasus; and violence and politics in the North Caucasus, particularly Chechnya and Ingushetia, where he conducts regular fieldwork. He previously served as senior intelligence analyst at The SecDev Group in Ottawa, Canada. He has consulted for the European Union and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) on radicalization and security.

Articles By Neil Hauer

Nagorno-Karabakh Deal Entrenches Russia’s Power in the Caucasus and Cuts Out the US By Neil Hauer - Nov 19, 2020

The ceasefire signed on November 10 between Armenia and Azerbaijan, brokered by Vladimir Putin, establishes not only peace (hopefully one that is more than merely tentative) in Nagorno-Karabakh, but also entrenches Russia’s influence in the Caucasus. To those who say, “Why not? This is, after all, on Moscow’s doorstep,” they have a point. However, is … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh Deal Entrenches Russia’s Power in the Caucasus and Cuts Out the US”

Nagorno-Karabakh: War Between Armenia and Azerbaijan Faces Decisive Moment in Mid-November By Neil Hauer - Nov 7, 2020

Yerevan, Armenia – No one said the conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh would be quick. Bit by bit, and despite heavy losses, however, Azerbaijan’s forces have continued to advance against Armenia’s troops. Azeri troops now find themselves on the edge of their greatest prize: the city of Shushi. It is at this point that the war will … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh: War Between Armenia and Azerbaijan Faces Decisive Moment in Mid-November”

As Azerbaijan Gains Ground in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia Must Step Up By Neil Hauer - Oct 23, 2020

Yerevan, Armenia – After limited initial advances, Azerbaijan’s armed forces by October 21 blew past Armenian positions in Nagorno-Karabakh’s south. This resulted in a lightning grab of territory that has left nearly the entirety of the region along the border with Iran in Azeri hands. On October 20, Azerbaijan’s defense ministry posted footage of Azeri … Continue reading “As Azerbaijan Gains Ground in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia Must Step Up”

Nagorno-Karabakh: Winter Will Reveal Reason for the War By Neil Hauer - Oct 16, 2020

Stepanakert, Nagorno-Karabakh – Since September 27, Armenia’s and Azerbaijan’s forces have slugged it out over the contested territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, the de facto independent region that remains de jure a part of Azerbaijan. The losses inflicted have been heavy. Winter, too, is on its way. And it is particularly the latter that offers a glimpse … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh: Winter Will Reveal Reason for the War”

Nagorno-Karabakh War Is a Result of the US’s Retreat from the World By Neil Hauer - Oct 12, 2020

Yerevan, Armenia – Much ink has been spilled over the decline of America’s worldwide influence and power and the rise of competing global powers, including Russia and China. While the underlying basis of this view – that the US has waned in strength relative to its adversaries – might not be strictly accurate, it is undeniably … Continue reading “Nagorno-Karabakh War Is a Result of the US’s Retreat from the World”